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91.
92.
利用大量远场观测地震图反演了新疆伽师地区三次不同机制类型Ms6级地震的破裂过程.结果表明,1998年8月2日Ms6.1级地震破裂尺度小,破裂过程简单,最大滑动量为12 cm,主破裂过程持续时间为8 s.1998年8月27日Ms6.5地震破裂过程的空间分布反映出双侧破裂特征,主破裂过程在前13 s基本完成,最大滑动量为63 cm,破裂面上起始破裂点两侧的滑动矢量方向不同.2003年2月24日Ms6.8地震的破裂过程最为复杂,震源时间函数由两次上升时间组成,破裂一共持续了32 s,最大滑动量为32 cm.研究表明,余震主要发生在主震破裂图像中大滑动量区域的外围或滑动量变化梯度较大的区域,主震后短期内发生的余震震源机制解也与破裂面上断层的错动方向一致,表明余震的位置和机制与主震破裂所引起的应力重新分布有关. 相似文献
93.
中强地震平静图像已被许多研究者认为是强震前的一个典型异常指标。近期中国大陆西部2次8级地震前地震活动图像的研究认为,8级特大地震前不仅中强震出现大面积平静,而且中小地震也会出现大规模平静现象,形成地震空区。震前依据震级由大而小逐级形成配套出现的地震空区,可作为中国大陆西部8级特大地震的中短期预测与8级地震发生地区的判定的一项有实际意义的指标。 相似文献
94.
Servando De la Cruz-Reyna Izumi Yokoyama Alicia Martínez-Bringas Esteban Ramos 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2008,70(6):753-767
Popocatépetl Volcano is located in the central Mexican Volcanic Belt, within a densely populated region inhabited by over
20 million people. The eruptive history of this volcano indicates that it is capable of producing a wide range of eruptions,
including Plinian events. After nearly 70 years of quiescence, Popocatépetl reawakened in December 21, 1994. The eruptive
activity has continued up until the date of this submission and has been characterized by a succession of lava dome growth-and-destruction
episodes, similar to events that have apparently been typical for Popocatépetl since the fourteenth century. In this regime,
the episodes of effusive and moderately explosive activity alternate with long periods of almost total quiescence. In this
paper we analyze five years of volcano-tectonic seismicity preceding the initial eruption of the current episode. The evolution
of the V-T seismicity shows four distinct stages, which we interpret in terms of the internal processes which precede an eruption
after a long period of quiescence. The thermal effects of a magma intrusion at depth, the fracturing related to the slow development
of magma-related fluid pathways, the concentration of stress causing a protracted acceleration of this process, and a final
relaxation or redistribution of the stress shortly before the initial eruption are reflected in the rates of V-T seismic energy
release. A hindsight analysis of this activity shows that the acceleration of the seismicity in the third stage asymptotically
forecast the time of the eruption. The total seismic energy release needed to produce an eruption after a long period of quiescence
is related to the volume of rock that must be fractured so imposing a characteristic threshold limit for polygenetic volcanoes,
limit that was reached by Popocatépetl before the eruption. 相似文献
95.
We present analyses of two swarms of long-period (LP) earthquakes at > 30 km depth that accompanied the geodetically observed 2002–2005 Mauna Loa intrusion. The first LP earthquake swarm in 2002 consisted of 31 events that were precursory and preceded the start of Mauna Loa inflation; the second LP swarm of two thousand events occurred from 2004–2005. The rate of LP earthquakes slowed significantly coincident with the occurrence of the December 26, 2004 Mw 9.3 Sumatra earthquake, suggesting that the seismic waves from this great earthquake may have had a dynamic triggering effect on the behavior of Mauna Loa's deep magma system. Using waveform cross correlation and double difference relocation, we find that a large number of earthquakes in each swarm are weakly similar and can be classified into two families. The relocated hypocenters for each family collapse to compact point source regions almost directly beneath the Mauna Loa intrusion. We suggest that the observed waveform characteristics are compatible with each family being associated with the resonance of a single fluid filled vertical crack of fixed geometry, with differences in waveforms between events being produced by slight variations in the trigger mechanism. If these LP earthquakes are part of the primary magma system that fed the 2002–2005 intrusion, as indicated by the spatial and temporal associations between mantle seismicity and surface deformation, then our results raise the possibility that this magma system may be quite focused at these depths as opposed to being a diffuse network. It is likely that only a few locations of Mauna Loa's deep magma system met the geometric and fluid dynamic conditions for generating LP earthquakes that were large enough to be recorded at the surface, and that much of the deep magma transfer associated with the 2002–2005 intrusion occurred aseismically. 相似文献
96.
利用福州电磁波观测资料,对给定时段内、范围内的闽台地区地震进行相关分析,找出福州电磁波异常与地震的相关系数,探讨福州电磁波异常信息的映震效能,为今后利用电磁波观测资料异常信息进行临震预报提供科学依据。 相似文献
97.
98.
华北成组强震孕育过程及预测研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
利用华北丰富的历史地震资料, 通过研究地震与块体活动的联系, 揭示了地震高潮期的形成过程。 认为地震高潮期成组强震的孕育与区域块体的运动方式相联系。 一个地震活动期可分为二个阶段, 在前期块体边界的运动是很不平衡的, 各组地震主要是由于各局部范围若干闭锁段破裂和破裂间相互作用的结果, 当沿块体边界的破裂发展到一定程度时, 这些边界所围的地块就会进入以整体运动为主的阶段, 这时块体边界的运动具有一定程度的同步性, 加之闭锁段破裂后不再重新闭锁, 从而导致块体边界闭锁段由弱到强渐进式的破裂过程, 直至一组强闭锁段完成破裂, 形成地震活动高潮。 这是成组强震形成的根本原因, 另外强震间的诱发作用也是强震成组发生的重要原因。 最后概述了如何利用以上模式预测地震高潮期的时间、 强度和主体活动场所。 相似文献
99.
根据1999年岫岩地震序列的活动特点, 将其划分为前震、 余震密集、 余震平静、 余震衰减4个时段, 利用收集整理的1999年6月至2000年9月间该序列中161次2.5级以上地震的震源机制解和Gephart的应力反演方法, 研究了震源区各时段内构造应力场的总体特征和时序变化特征。 结果表明, 序列的主压应力方向与华北地区的构造应力场基本一致, 而且最大主压应力的空间取向经历了主震前相对稳定—主震后分散—最大余震前相对稳定—最大余震后分散的全过程。 该结果对主震和最大余震的预测具有一定的参考价值。 相似文献
100.
Shoichi Yoshioka Mamiko Toda Junichi Nakajima 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》2008,272(1-2):189-198
The Fukuoka District Meteorological Observatory recently logged three possible deep low-frequency earthquakes (LFEs) beneath eastern Kyushu, Japan, a region in which LFEs and low-frequency tremors have never before been identified. To assess these data, we analyzed band-pass filtered velocity seismograms and relocated LFEs and regular earthquakes using the double-difference method. The results strongly suggest that the three events were authentic LFEs, each at a depth of about 50 km. We also performed relocation analysis on LFEs recorded beneath the Kii Peninsula and found that these LFEs occurred near the northwest-dipping plate interface at depths of approximately 29–38 km. These results indicate that LFEs in southwest Japan occur near the upper surface of the subducting Philippine Sea (PHS) plate. To investigate the origin of regional differences in the occurrence frequency of LFEs in western Shikoku, the Kii Peninsula, and eastern Kyushu, we calculated temperature distributions associated with PHS plate subduction. Then, using the calculated thermal structures and a phase diagram of water dehydration for oceanic basalt, the water dehydration rate (wt.%/km), which was newly defined in this study, was determined to be 0.19, 0.12, and 0.08 in western Shikoku, the Kii Peninsula, and eastern Kyushu, respectively; that is, the region beneath eastern Kyushu has the lowest water dehydration rate value. Considering that the Kyushu–Palau Ridge that is subducting beneath eastern Kyushu is composed of tonalite, which is low in hydrous minerals, this finding suggests that the regionality may be related to the amount of water dehydration associated with subduction of the PHS plate and/or differences in LFE depths. Notable dehydration reactions take place beneath western Shikoku and the Kii Peninsula, where the depth ranges for dehydration estimated by thermal modeling agree well with those for the relocated LFEs. The temperature range in which LFEs occur in these regions is estimated to be 400–500 °C. 相似文献